Why Trump’s War in Iran Trigger’s NATO’s Most Severe Crisis Yet.

#Trump #Iran #NATO

The strategic failure of U.S. President Donald Trump to achieve the war objectives he set—under the assumption that the conflict with Iran would be short, decisive, and relatively low-cost—appears to stem primarily from a fundamental strategic miscalculation. At the core of this misjudgment lies a failure to adequately anticipate both the resilience of the Iranian political system and the strategic instruments available to Tehran for shaping the trajectory of the conflict. In particular, insufficient attention appears to have been paid to Iran’s potential use of its most powerful geo-energy and geo-economic lever: the Strait of Hormuz.

For those who study the war in Ukraine and understand its complexity, it is not surprising that following the intense diplomatic activity around mid-August, including the Trump–Putin meeting, diplomatic efforts have stalled while hostilities continue. President Trump may have left the summit believing that he had secured agreement on launching a negotiation process to end the war. President Putin, however, having already succeeded in preventing a ceasefire prior to any agreement, emerged confident that he could continue the conflict on his own terms.